Izark Kia Tarj ([info]chosenprophecy) wrote,
@ 2007-02-19 22:41:00
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[CFUW 41.5 - Locked to Hyatt]
I know it's safe to talk to you since you're a confirmed sheep.

Luc is the wolf from the last clue.

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[info]slightly_anemic
2007-02-20 06:48 am UTC (link)
Well, of course you'd say that, since you're the other person indicated by the clue... but if you're making a locked post, there must be more to it than that.

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[info]chosenprophecy
2007-02-20 07:14 am UTC (link)
I know saying it doesn't amount to much since I'm under suspicion. I myself don't trust people unless there's no doubt in my mind. Since you have a clue, I have reason to trust you.

I don't want to talk about suspicions where everyone can read them, including the wolves. That's why I didn't want to talk to openly with Ash just now. And I can't exactly discredit Luc without proving myself. Hence the locked post.

Now that we know Rabi was a sheep, I want to point out that I tried defending him when Caesar said the first clue indicated Sophie. At the time I wasn't doing it intentionally, just keeping my options open. Since Sophie was another confirmed sheep with the second clue, I'm almost certain the first clue meant Rabi, which means I was right the whole time. It also questions Caesar, but we can get to that later. I know it doesn't say much about me being a sheep or not, but... [shrugs]

Another thing I also want to mention is the fact that I'm talking with Chizuru in her post she made. She also thinks Luc is the wolf. She's actually the one who pointed out how odd it was for me to defend Rabi when we were both in question. "You can't both be wolves in the same clue, can you? If you were it would be suspicious, but if only one of you is it doesn't make much sense for you to be the wolf." I honestly don't know if I can trust her or not at this point since she and Chris haven't been in a clue yet.

There's what I have to offer. Could I hear your thoughts?

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[info]slightly_anemic
2007-02-20 07:34 am UTC (link)
Ah, yes, I recall now that you did defend Rabi, which would seem to suggest that you're not the wolf, because if you were, it would have been better for you to allow suspicion to fall on him. On the other hand, I don't feel I can really judge Luc, because he's been fairly quiet so far and I don't know him well enough outside of the game to tell whether his behavior is normal or not.

As for Chizuru, well, either she or Chris has to be a wolf, since they're the only ones that haven't been indicated in a clue yet. Chizuru was quite vocal in her defense of Rabi, which initially made me suspicious of her, but now that we know that Rabi wasn't a wolf, I'm not sure what to think. Most likely she's a sheep, because it would be a somewhat risky gamble for a wolf to proclaim the innocence of one of the three people indicated in a clue in order to gain credibility with the sheep and just hope that suspicion fell next on the other sheep in the clue and not the actual wolf... I'm sorry, did that make sense? Chris has also been rather quiet, but she's new to the game, so perhaps she's just trying to get used to things.

So really, I'm not sure of anything just yet, but the simplest explanation is that you and Chizuru are both sheep and Luc and Chris are wolves.

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[info]chosenprophecy
2007-02-20 07:49 am UTC (link)
I know a little of Luc only because I met him before the game. He's not one to say much normally anyway.

Only if what I said made sense. It's almost the same argument she had for me. Knowing that, I agree with you. I had forgotten Chizuru also spoke up for Rabi then. It's more likely for her to be a sheep than Chris at this point. I'm still going to be cautious in talking to her.

Have you voted yet? One of the votes for Luc is mine, Chizuru told me that she voted for Chris, and it stands to reason that Chris is the one who voted for her. I don't know who has the fourth vote on Luc.

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[info]slightly_anemic
2007-02-20 07:57 am UTC (link)
No, I haven't voted yet. I wasn't sure who I found more suspicious. I may vote for Luc now, but then again I may just wait and see. I wonder if Ash has voted yet?

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[info]chosenprophecy
2007-02-20 08:02 am UTC (link)
It's probably better to wait for now in case something drastic happens tomorrow. I have no idea if Ash has or not. He said he'd take my word for now, but I don't know how reliable that is.

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[info]slightly_anemic
2007-02-20 08:08 am UTC (link)
Yes, that probably is the way to go. As for Ash, hard as it may seem to believe, he's actually rather good at this game. He's won quite a few times, as a wolf and as a sheep. So I would rather like to know what he thinks of all this... perhaps I'll talk to him tomorrow.

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[info]chosenprophecy
2007-02-20 08:12 am UTC (link)
...he has?

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[info]slightly_anemic
2007-02-20 08:18 am UTC (link)
I know he doesn't quite seem... like the sort to do that, but yes. I think the fact that no one expects him to know what he's doing helps somewhat, actually.

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[info]chosenprophecy
2007-02-20 08:22 am UTC (link)
It's no wonder I felt like I was being turned about.

Then I'd like to know what he has to say, as well. If you do speak to him, that is. Hopefully you'll get a chance to. So far all the sheep who had clues have been eaten. And hopefully you'll trust me enough to share.

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[info]slightly_anemic
2007-02-20 08:33 am UTC (link)
Hopefully I'll be able to speak with him before the next ousting, and if I do manage to- or I'm still around afterwards to do so- I'll let you know what he says. I probably will be eaten, though... that's usually how I end up. The shepherds seem to love giving me clues.

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[info]chosenprophecy
2007-02-20 08:45 am UTC (link)
I wonder why that is.

Something else has just come up. I told you I've been speaking to Chizuru? She just mentioned that she's also been talking to Luke. I took a risk of her trust and asked that she open the post with him to me. She did. I'm more inclined to trust her at this point because of what you said and what she just did.

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[info]slightly_anemic
2007-02-20 08:53 am UTC (link)
Ah, that is good to know. At this point, she does seem to be fairly trustworthy; if it came to a vote between her and Chris, I would probably vote for Chris. Though at the moment it seems it will be Luc against one or the other of them, in which case I would obviously vote for Luc.

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[info]chosenprophecy
2007-02-20 08:57 am UTC (link)
...Thank you for that.

I would probably vote for Chris as well, though I'd rather not until we have something more to go on.

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[info]slightly_anemic
2007-02-20 09:06 am UTC (link)
Well, at the moment it does seem the more logical choice. Then again, I could be wrong- I admit that for all my experience in this game, I'm not the best at telling when I'm being played.

Right- we've got no evidence against her, exactly, it's just that Chizuru seems less suspicious.

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[info]chosenprophecy
2007-02-20 09:14 am UTC (link)
I'd like to say I'm good at telling that sort of thing, but then I'd never know if I was being played or not if they were good at it. I'm not one to do that, myself. I've been nothing but honest with you.

Exactly. Once we vote Luc out, the next round should shed some light on the other players. I hope you make it until then.

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[info]slightly_anemic
2007-02-20 09:26 am UTC (link)
Well, for better or worse, I believe you. Time will tell whether that was a mistake, I suppose.

Hopefully. And if I don't, I wish you luck in the rest of the game.

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[info]chosenprophecy
2007-02-20 09:32 am UTC (link)
And best of luck to you.

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[info]chosenprophecy
2007-02-21 01:26 am UTC (link)
If we win the coin toss and Luc is voted out, there's a a chance that I might be eaten instead of you. Either way, if Luc is out the game can go on.

At this point, I strongly suspect Caesar, Chris, and Luke to be the wolves. I've chosen Luke over Ash because as I've been watching Chizuru's post with him, he suddenly switched his suspicions to me. I opened a post to him and he's not moving. I'll open it to you as well so you can see for yourself. I still don't know what to think of Ash.

Hopefully, this ousting will go in our favor.

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[info]slightly_anemic
2007-02-21 01:48 am UTC (link)
Don't you mean Luc, Chris, and Luke? Caesar and Luke can't both be wolves, they were indicated in the same clue. Anyway, Luke's lack of justification for the shift of his suspicions onto you does make him look rather suspicious himself. I'm still not certain about him, though.

The voting looks like it's going in your favor now, at least- though chances are rather slim that both of us will make it to the next round unscathed, one way or the other.

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[info]chosenprophecy
2007-02-21 01:52 am UTC (link)
...ksdjfkjsgd so distracted at work

You're right, my mistake. I now can't decide between Luke and Caesar.

Thankfully Ash voted for Luc.

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